US recession expected by the end of 2019

December 13, 2018 | Investopaper

Chief financial officers (CFOs) at organizations are skeptical heading into 2019, with about half expecting a recession before that year’s end, as indicated by a study unveiled on Wednesday. The survey conducted by Duke University revealed that 48.6% of 212 chief financial officers expect the economic recession by the end of 2019. In the event that the U.S. figures out how to endure the year without subsidence, 82 percent predicted that one will begin before the finish of 2020.

John Graham, the director of the survey stated that the end is near for the decade-long burst of economic growth. He further elaborated that the U.S. standpoint has declined, and additionally the viewpoint is surprisingly more dreadful in numerous different parts of the world, which will prompt gentler interest for country products.

Other revelations of the research were that 86% predicted Canada recession by the end of 2019 while the figures for Europe, Asia, and Latin America stood at 66.7,54 and 42 percent respectively.

Generally speaking, respondents expect the U.S. to develop by 2.7 percent for the year, while there’s a 1-in-10 shot of GDP rising simply 0.6 percent. The results are surprising since this year has been the best year since economic recovery started in 2009. GDP has averaged 3.3 percent for the first there quarters.

The issues that were focused by CFOs to the possible decline of economic growth were government policies, benefit costs, economic uncertainty, and rising employment costs. Also, the problem has been worsened by the inability of companies to attract and retain qualified workers and hence not being able to fill more than 7 million jobs opening.

Similarly, corporate earnings and capital spending expectations among the officers for the following 12 months also declined over the past quarter. Also, inflation, as measured by the costs of the individual firms prices, fell from 3 percent to 2.7 percent.

Although the survey suggests that CFOs are pessimistic about the economy, Kevin Hassett, director of National Economic Council, expects GDP Growth rate to surpass 3 percent next year.





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